Posted by
Crispian on Sunday, February 03, 2008 3:32:36 PM
Missouri is a state with a good amount of delegates (58) and the winner
takes all. It is one of the few states where all three contenders
(McCain, Romney, and Huckabee) are fairly close in the polls. I
believe it will be a sort of canary in the coal mine. It will either
correspond to a strong showing by Huckabee in the southern states, will
evidence a resurgence by Romney against McCain, or will reaffirm
McCain's strength across a broad spectrum of states.
Or even
more apt on this day after Groundhog Day, Missouri is the groundhog. If
McCain wins Missouri, he will have the nomination. If either of the
others wins it, the race is prolonged and the winner of Missouri will
become the presumptive challenger to McCain.